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The next date somebody has circled.

This is the whole point of the calendar: a specific claim, a specific date, and an honest label on how much weight it deserves. You get the next one free. Every entry names its source, including the ones that turn out to be nothing.

Next tracked date

Heinz von Foerster

Friday, November 13, 2026

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World population growth reaches infinity, a mathematical 'doomsday', derived from a hyperbolic fit to historical population data.

A real peer-reviewed paper in Science, November 1960, titled 'Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026'. It was tongue in cheek, written to show that naive extrapolation produces absurd results. The date was partly chosen because it was von Foerster's 115th birthday. Global population growth rate peaked in the 1960s and has fallen ever since, so the model was falsified decades ago. Viral coverage strips out the satire.

Source: Wikipedia: Heinz von Foerster · Our label: No basis


The full calendar · Planner and above

22 dated claims, from seven weeks out to 428,899 CE.

Religious, astronomical, scientific, numerological and outright invented. Sorted by date. Labeled by how much the evidence actually supports them, which for most of them is not at all.

2026 No basis 98 days

Messiah Foundation International, from Riaz Ahmed Gohar Shahi's The Religion of God

A comet or asteroid collides with Earth and ends the world.

No specific day is published; adherents say only 2026. No object matching this description appears on NASA's Sentry risk list. Secondary sites circulate a December 31 date with no primary basis.

Likelihood: Nothing supports this. Included because the correction is the useful part. · Source: Wikipedia: Messiah Foundation International

August 2, 2027 Certain event 312 days

NASA (the eclipse); apocalyptic framing is folk, not from any named authority

The longest total solar eclipse of the century, up to 6 minutes 23 seconds, crosses North Africa, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Yemen.

The eclipse is certain and predicted to the second. The apocalyptic reading is not attributable to any specific prophet or text. Eclipses have drawn this framing continuously since antiquity.

Likelihood: The event will happen and is predicted precisely. The apocalyptic reading is not. · Source: NASA GSFC eclipse catalog

2028 No basis 829 days

F. Kenton Beshore

The Second Coming occurs within a biblical generation of Israel's 1948 founding, recalculated as 70 to 80 years.

Beshore had already revised once. He originally endorsed a 40-year generation pointing at 1988, then stretched it when that failed. This 2018 to 2028 window is the survivor of that revision, and the last widely cited generation-of-1948 window still open.

Likelihood: Nothing supports this. Included because the correction is the useful part. · Source: Wikipedia: List of dates predicted for apocalyptic events

April 13, 2029 Certain, harmless 932 days

NASA JPL CNEOS

Asteroid 99942 Apophis passes about 19,600 miles above Earth's surface, closer than geosynchronous satellites, and is visible to the naked eye across much of the planet.

Impact probability peaked at 2.7 percent on December 27, 2004, the highest ever recorded for an object this size, and was eliminated the same day when archival images extended the observation arc. The 2036 scenario was cleared in 2006 and the 2068 scenario in 2021. NASA states there is no risk of Apophis impacting Earth for at least 100 years. Diameter roughly 1,100 to 1,500 feet.

Likelihood: The pass will happen. The impact will not. · Source: NASA: Apophis

December 22, 2032 Ruled out 2,281 days

NASA CNEOS and ESA

Asteroid 2024 YR4 close approach. It briefly carried the highest Earth-impact probability on record for an object its size, then a 4.3 percent Moon-impact probability.

Both risks are now ruled out. Earth impact was eliminated in February 2025 using JWST data. The Moon impact, which peaked at 4.3 percent and drew serious debris modeling, was eliminated on March 5, 2026 after JWST observations in late February; it will miss the lunar surface by about 13,200 miles. A great deal of stale coverage still says 4 percent chance of hitting the Moon.

Likelihood: A real risk was published and has since been eliminated by better data. · Source: NASA: 2024 YR4

January 19, 2038 Real, bounded 4,135 days

Computing community

Signed 32-bit Unix time overflows at 03:14:07 UTC, wrapping date handling to 1901 and potentially disrupting infrastructure systems.

Real and dated to the second, but it is a software bug, not an extinction event. The direct successor to Y2K. Most modern 64-bit systems are already immune; residual risk sits in embedded and legacy systems.

Likelihood: A genuine problem with a known scope. Not an extinction event. · Source: Wikipedia: Year 2038 problem

2040 Scenario model 4,847 days

Meadows et al. (MIT, 1972), revalidated by Gaya Herrington (2021)

The Limits to Growth business-as-usual scenario shows industrial output and food per capita peaking and declining sharply around 2040.

Herrington compared empirical data through 2019 against the 1972 scenarios and found closest alignment with two that show decline beginning around 2040. Herrington herself emphasizes this is not a prediction of collapse or extinction. It is a scenario model, and one of the matching scenarios shows the decline being avoidable.

Likelihood: Model output, not a forecast. The authors say so explicitly. · Source: Club of Rome: Herrington world model

2045 Contested 6,674 days

Ray Kurzweil

The technological singularity: machine intelligence exceeds and merges with human intelligence, ending the human era as currently understood.

Kurzweil frames this as transcendence rather than catastrophe; the apocalyptic reading is imported by others. Frequently criticized as extrapolating exponential curves past the point where they are justified, structurally the same error as the 2026 population model.

Likelihood: Published by a credible body and disputed by other credible bodies. · Source: Wikipedia: The Singularity Is Near

2050 Contested 8,500 days

O'Neill Review on Antimicrobial Resistance (UK government and Wellcome)

Antimicrobial resistance causes 10 million deaths per year worldwide.

A genuine government-commissioned estimate, now the most-quoted AMR figure in the world, and heavily criticized. The linked paper argues the methodology was weak and the number should not be treated as a forecast. A clean example of a real body publishing a number that then got repeated past its evidence.

Likelihood: Published by a credible body and disputed by other credible bodies. · Source: PLOS Medicine critique

2060 Misattributed 12,152 days

Sir Isaac Newton, private manuscripts around 1704

The 1,260-day prophetic period of Daniel ends and Christ's thousand-year kingdom begins.

Widely misreported. Newton's own words: 'This I mention not to assert when the time of the end shall be, but to put a stop to the rash conjectures of fancifull men.' He was setting a date before which the world would definitely not end, specifically to shut down date-setters. These were private notes he never published, and he actively opposed public date-setting.

Likelihood: The claimant said something close to the opposite of what is reported. · Source: Newton Project statement on 2060

July 28, 2061 Certain, harmless 12,726 days

Orbital mechanics; apocalyptic framing from the 1910 press

Return of Halley's Comet, historically a recurring trigger for end-times panic.

The 1910 apparition produced real mass panic after spectroscopy found cyanogen in the tail and the press speculated Earth would pass through it. Gas masks and anti-comet pills sold widely. Nothing happened. Expect the 2061 return to generate a fresh cycle.

Likelihood: The event will happen and poses no danger. · Source: Wikipedia: Halley's Comet

2065 Contested 13,979 days

Peter and Susanne Ditlevsen, Nature Communications

Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, with severe climate consequences for the North Atlantic region. 95 percent range 2037 to 2109.

Figures were revised. As published in July 2023 the central estimate was 2057 with a range of 2025 to 2095, and those are the numbers in nearly all press coverage. An Author Correction published August 21, 2025 revised these to a central estimate of 2065, range 2037 to 2109. The authors caution the statistical model may not hold and a collapse could be partial. AMOC collapse means regional cooling and disruption, not the end of the world.

Likelihood: Published by a credible body and disputed by other credible bodies. · Source: Nature Communications

2076 Rejected 17,996 days

Attributed to al-Suyuti via a seven-millennia world-age scheme

The Muslim community will not outlast year 1500 of the Islamic calendar, roughly 2076 to 2078.

Rejected by mainstream Islamic scholarship. The linked source is itself a detailed refutation: the supporting hadiths are graded weak or fabricated, and the claim contradicts the Quranic position that the timing of the Hour is known only to God. Circulates widely on social media as the 1500 hijri prophecy.

Likelihood: Rejected by the scholarly tradition it claims to come from. · Source: IslamQA refutation

August 5, 2126 Ruled out 36,474 days

Brian Marsden, IAU Central Bureau, 1992

Comet Swift-Tuttle, the 16-mile-wide parent of the Perseids, was warned to possibly strike Earth or the Moon.

A real alarm from a real authority, and a clean example of how these resolve. Marsden raised it in 1992 when perihelion arrived 17 days early. Gary Kronk then found Chinese observations of the same comet from 69 BCE and 188 CE; Marsden confirmed them, and a 2,000-year observation arc showed the orbit is stable with no threat for at least two millennia. The 2126 pass will be about 14.2 million miles away.

Likelihood: A real risk was published and has since been eliminated by better data. · Source: Wikipedia: Comet Swift-Tuttle

2129 Attributed 37,354 days

Said Nursi

The world ends in 2129.

The date derives from numerological readings of hadith. Nursi is a major and widely respected figure whose followers generally do not treat this as a hard forecast.

Likelihood: Circulates widely; the attribution itself is doubtful. · Source: Wikipedia: List of dates predicted for apocalyptic events

September 24, 2182 Low but real 56,978 days

NASA JPL, from OSIRIS-REx tracking

Single most probable Earth impact date for asteroid 101955 Bennu, roughly 1,600 feet across, at 1 in 2,700.

Real, published, and precisely dated. The best legitimate risk with a calendar date on this list. Cumulative impact probability through 2300 is 1 in 1,750. Even an impact would be regionally devastating rather than an extinction event; Bennu is about one twentieth the diameter of the Chicxulub impactor.

Likelihood: A published, non-zero probability from a scientific authority. · Source: NASA JPL

2239 Deadline, not doom 77,801 days

Talmud, Sanhedrin 97a

Latest possible time for the Messianic Age to begin, at Hebrew year 6000.

This is a deadline, not a doom date. The tradition holds the Messiah may come any time before year 6000, and the seventh millennium is understood as a cosmic Sabbath of rest rather than annihilation.

Likelihood: A tradition's outer limit, not a predicted catastrophe. · Source: Wikipedia: Year 6000

2280 Rejected 92,505 days

Rashad Khalifa

The world ends in 1710 AH, derived from summing gematrical values of the 14 Quranic Initials.

Khalifa's code of 19 is rejected by mainstream Islamic scholarship. His method also required adding 300 solar years to a lunar-calendar result, which is arithmetically incoherent.

Likelihood: Rejected by the scholarly tradition it claims to come from. · Source: Khalifa, Appendix 25 (primary source)

March 16, 2880 Low but real 311,726 days

NASA JPL Sentry; Ward and Asphaug (2003)

Potential Earth impact by asteroid 1950 DA, about 0.8 miles across, with ocean-impact tsunami modeling published in a peer-reviewed journal.

Probability has been repeatedly downgraded: 1 in 306 in 2002, 1 in 8,300 in 2015, 1 in 2,600 as of September 2025. The NASA Sentry table is the live source.

Likelihood: A published, non-zero probability from a scientific authority. · Source: Wikipedia: (29075) 1950 DA

3797 Attributed 646,579 days

Michel de Nostredame, preface to Les Propheties (1555)

Nostradamus stated his prophecies run from his own time to the year 3797, widely read as the terminal date of his vision.

This is the only Nostradamus date with an actual textual basis, in his own preface. Everything else attributed to him with a year attached, including the perennial World War III in 2026 or 2027 claims, is retrofitted. Academic consensus is that the quatrains are vague enough to fit anything.

Likelihood: Circulates widely; the attribution itself is doubtful. · Source: Wikipedia: Nostradamus

428,899 Cyclical 155,912,161 days

Hindu cosmology, Surya Siddhanta

End of the Kali Yuga after its full 432,000-year span.

Kali Yuga began in 3102 BCE; roughly 5,127 years have elapsed and about 426,873 remain. It is a cyclical transition to a new Satya Yuga, not a terminal end. Popular claims that Kali Yuga is ending soon contradict the standard chronology.

Likelihood: A cycle boundary, not a terminal end. · Source: Wikipedia: Kali Yuga

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Frequently given a date they do not have

Four claims you will see with years attached that have none.

Astronomical consensus

Betelgeuse explodes as a Type II supernova.

There is no date and none should be invented. Distance is 400 to 650 light years; the danger threshold is about 160 light years, so Betelgeuse poses zero threat to Earth. It would shine as bright as a half Moon for months. The 2019 Great Dimming that triggered imminent-supernova speculation turned out to be a dust cloud.

Window: within about 100,000 years · Wikipedia: Betelgeuse

Popular media, not USGS

Yellowstone's caldera is overdue for a supereruption.

Contradicted directly by the agency that monitors it. USGS: 'Yellowstone is not overdue for an eruption. Volcanoes do not work in predictable ways and their eruptions do not follow predictable schedules.' The magma chamber is only 5 to 15 percent molten, and USGS states scientists are not convinced one will ever happen.

Window: no schedule exists · USGS

Attributed to Baba Vanga

A large set of dated predictions attributed to the Bulgarian mystic, covering 2025 through 5079.

There are no written records of her alleged predictions, and people close to her have stated she never made many of those attributed to her. Every dated Vanga prediction in circulation is a later attribution with no documented source. The commonly cited 3797 end-of-world date is lifted directly from Nostradamus's preface.

Window: none documented · Wikipedia: Baba Vanga

Various traditions

The Hopi Blue Star Kachina prophecy, Norse Ragnarok, and the St. Malachy Prophecy of the Popes are all frequently given dates online.

None of these contains a date in any primary source. Any specific year you see attached to them was added later by someone else.

Window: none in any primary source · Wikipedia: Prophecy of the Popes


Track record

38 dated predictions since 1524. None of them happened.

We keep this list because it is the strongest argument we have, and it argues against the thing that sells best. If you are here because a date scared you, read this first. At least four of these killed people or ruined them financially.

DateClaimClaimantSource
1524A second Great Flood begins in London. Roughly 20,000 people fled their homes and a merchant built an ark on high ground above the Thames.London astrologers; parallel prediction by Johannes StoefflerLink
1666The Year of the Beast. Christ's return, reinforced by the Great Plague and the Great Fire of London.Sabbatai Zevi and Christian millenariansLink
1806A hen in Leeds laid eggs inscribed 'Christ is coming', read as an end-times sign.Mary BatemanLink
1844Christ's visible return, recalculated twice after failure. The final failure is known as the Great Disappointment.William Miller and the MilleritesLink
1881The world ends, per verses attributed to a 15th century prophetess.Mother Shipton (attributed)Link
1910Earth passing through Halley's Comet tail poisons the atmosphere with cyanogen.Press speculation citing Camille FlammarionLink
1914The Gentile Times end and Armageddon culminates, calculated as 2,520 years from 607 BC.Charles Taze Russell, Watch Tower SocietyLink
1925Biblical patriarchs are resurrected to inaugurate the new order. The 'Millions Now Living Will Never Die' campaign.J. F. Rutherford, Watch Tower SocietyLink
1954A flood destroys the world and the faithful are rescued by flying saucer at midnight.Dorothy Martin and the SeekersLink
1962A rare planetary alignment brings a world-changing cataclysm.Jeane DixonLink
1967Nuclear holocaust, foretold in a vision.Jim Jones, Peoples TempleLink
1975End of 6,000 years of human history. Members were counselled against pursuing higher education.Jehovah's Witnesses, Fred FranzLink
1980Nuclear holocaust killing a third of humanity. Followers entered fallout shelters in Missoula, Montana.Leland JensenLink
1982The end of the world, stated on The 700 Club in late 1976.Pat RobertsonLink
1987Halley's Comet, having entered Earth orbit in 1986, collides with Earth.Leland JensenLink
1987The Harmonic Convergence. Armageddon unless 144,000 people gathered at power points to resonate in harmony.Jose ArguellesLink
1988The Rapture at the Feast of Trumpets. The book '88 Reasons Why the Rapture Will Be in 1988' sold an estimated 4.5 million copies.Edgar C. WhisenantLink
1990Nuclear war. Followers stockpiled a fortified shelter compound in Montana with supplies and weapons.Elizabeth Clare Prophet, Church Universal and TriumphantLink
1994The Rapture, revised twice within weeks.Harold CampingLink
1997A spacecraft trailing Comet Hale-Bopp collects believers. Thirty-nine people died.Marshall Applewhite, Heaven's GateLink
1998God lands on Earth in a flying saucer in Garland, Texas at 10:00 am.Hon-Ming Chen, Chen TaoLink
1999'In the year 1999 and seven months, from the sky will come a great King of Terror', read as doomsday.Nostradamus interpretersLink
2000The Y2K bug cascades into infrastructure collapse and global catastrophe.Various, amplified by Tim LaHaye and Jerry JenkinsLink
2000The Virgin Mary ends the world. Roughly 778 members died in a church fire and linked poisonings.Movement for the Restoration of the Ten Commandments of GodLink
2000A planetary alignment triggers a star holocaust, pulling the planets toward the Sun.Nuwaubian NationLink
2003Planet Nibiru passes Earth and causes a pole shift killing most of humanity. Moved to 2012 when it failed.Nancy Lieder, ZetaTalkLink
2003Nuclear war destroys the world.Aum ShinrikyoLink
2006Nuclear war begins.Yisrayl Hawkins, House of YahwehLink
2008The LHC's first beam creates a stable black hole or strangelet and destroys Earth. Two lawsuits were filed to halt it.Walter Wagner and others; suits dismissedLink
2011Rapture with global earthquakes, then final destruction in October. Backed by a roughly 100 million dollar billboard campaign. Followers spent their savings.Harold CampingLink
2011Comet Elenin collides with or gravitationally disrupts Earth.Online conspiracy communitiesLink
2012The end of the 13th baktun of the Maya Long Count brings cataclysm.Various New Age authorsLink
2013A devastating storm, with Jesus returning to comfort the afflicted.Attributed to Grigori RasputinLink
2015The blood moon prophecy. A lunar tetrad falling on Jewish feast days signals the end times.John Hagee and Mark BiltzLink
2015Final destruction by fire, 1,600 days after Camping's judgement day.eBible Fellowship, Chris McCannLink
2017Planet Nibiru becomes visible and destroys Earth. Revised to April 2018 after failure.David MeadeLink
2019Christ's return. Weinland's third failed date.Ronald Weinland, Church of God PKGLink
2025The Rapture. RaptureTok produced roughly 300,000 TikTok posts. Some followers sold homes, cars and possessions and quit jobs. Revised to October dates after failure.Joshua MhlakelaLink
The pattern, named: prediction, failure, reinterpretation, new prediction. Camping ran 1994 then 2011 then 2011 again. Meade ran 2017 then 2018. Weinland ran 2011, 2012 and 2019. Miller ran March 1844 then October 1844. Jensen ran 1980, 1986 and 1987. The revision is not a bug in the belief. It is how the belief survives.